[Fis] FW: The Age of Discord
Pedro C. Marijuan
pcmarijuan.iacs at aragon.es
Wed Nov 27 19:42:10 CET 2019
Dear Howard and FIS colleagues,
(I think your interesting response below did not enter into the
list--other parties should read it before these lines).
Curiously you do not develop there the "yes" side of your reasoning
regarding the role of Internet & mobiles.
It is unfulfilled expectations the main factor? Maybe, but only
partially, for they have to be accompanied by deep social crisis, by
efficient means of communication, and by a modicum of rebel
organization. Otherwise the revolts do not ignite or do not conduce to
anything. In 1848 there was a radical capitalist transformation and the
beginning of the proletarian insurrection. Mass migrations to city
slums, lots of poverty coupled to ancient regime constraints, with
plenty of pamphlets and newspapers of all kinds circulating, and new
organizations of both bourgeois and proletarian orientation. Previously,
both the scientific revolution and the political revolution had been
shaking the world, both the brainchild of the printing press...
So, I much emphasize "means of communication" (in Iran 1979 it was not
books but clandestine cassettes circulating among Mosques). These means
represent the "plus" without which revolts cannot ignite or propagate.
Therefore the fight to tip the balance between
information/disinformation in the own benefit, by both defenders and
contenders, is essential to frame the resulting expectations and
frustrations. What Joseph and Terry have just argued. He who establishes
the "truth" of the masses wins.
And in our times it is the new media which are bringing an unexpected,
never seen panorama of global connectivity, irreflexive mentality, and
internecine division within societies, coupled with the diminished,
frustrated expectations of large fractions of Western population (middle
class, proletarians) right in front of the new mega-rich. This felt
inequality and a sense of immediate ecological catastrophe, and aired
gender grievances, are igniting today's well connected masses...
towards? Who knows. This may be connected with Diego's and Karl's
11/2019 a las 2:24, Howard Bloom escribió:
> pedro, thanks for this.
> we are in a time of paradox. with street demonstrations in Asia, the
> Middle East, Europe, and South America.
> do these depend on the internet? yes and no. remember, in 1848 there
> were roughly 57 revolutions worldwide, and there was no internet.
> even though there was the telegraph.
> remember the j curve. when expectations are raised, then not met, we
> have revolt in the streets.
> ironically, it's good times that raise expectations. so good times
> crimped by a momentary downturn can lead to street demonstrations. it
> happened in france in 1788 when bread prices went up. and it happened
> in iran in 1979.
> frankly, we need a theory of expectations, a theory of the role that
> future projection plays in our lives, in our biology...and in the
> forces of history.
> with warmth and oomph--howard
Pedro C. Marijuán
Grupo de Bioinformación / Bioinformation Group
pcmarijuan.iacs at aragon.es
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