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    <p>There is an interesting <b>field of normative modelling and
        empirical research at the intersection of logics and probability
        in psychology and philosophy as well.</b> One has to distinguish
      ternary logics, many-valued logics, fuzzy logic, quantum
      probability accounts applied to logical issues. Particularly
      interesting, in my view, are some accounts, adressing apparent
      deviations from normative probability theory and logics (like the
      Conjunction fallacy). </p>
    <p>I allow myself to draw your attention to <b>Bayesian Logic</b>
      (or Bayesian pattern logic), that I have been working on. This is
      an inductive, probabilistic logic, concerned with the classical
      (16 combinatorically possible) binary logical connectives of
      propositional logics. It is based on standard Kolmogorov
      probabilities, but is concerned with logical *patterns*
      (probabilistic analogues of truth tables as a whole). The logic
      assigns priors, likelihoods (based on frequency data) and
      posteriors to probability tables as wholes. This may sound quite
      standard Bayesian, but the results here differ strongly from
      (extensional) probabilities which use relative frequencies or
      subjective probability measures (based on priors and likelihoods
      based on relative frequencies) more directly. Bayesian logics
      instead provides a kind of rational re-formulation of intensional
      (<> intentional) probability. The 'emergent' intensional
      probability linked to the pattern of a particilar connector
      differs substantially from the composing standard extensional
      probabilities. In my ideosyncratic view this logic seems to
      provide a rational reconstruction for a number of biases discussed
      in psychology and philosophy as supposedly irrational. For
      instance it allows a logical conjunction A AND B to be more
      probable than inclusive disjunction A OR B (or both), which would
      not be possible using Kolmorgorov probabilities with logical
      connectives more directly. <br>
    </p>
    <p>Of course, this parsimonic Bayesian logic, on its normative side,
      is required to make assumtions, in particular that random
      variables are iid (otherwise it would fall pray to the Humean
      problem of induction) and it is only developed and empirically
      supported (as minority position) as an inductive logic. It is not
      jet developed in the traditional core field of logic, i.e. that of
      reasoning and drawing inferences. Nonetheless, perhaps someone
      wants to have a look at it.<br>
    </p>
    <p><a class="moz-txt-link-freetext" href="https://urldefense.com/v3/__https://www.researchgate.net/publication/228529771_The_Bayesian_logic_of_frequency-based_conjunction_fallacies__;!!D9dNQwwGXtA!Wkpc6gXEAUa7vTN073irJvmiGFm1M04ePrzamc3puONiLj0j7VhXXNyOKSfhw7vlOZkl9aV2Cf3k1dD6zyBvCQ$">https://www.researchgate.net/publication/228529771_The_Bayesian_logic_of_frequency-based_conjunction_fallacies</a><br>
<a class="moz-txt-link-freetext" href="https://urldefense.com/v3/__https://www.researchgate.net/publication/289489883_Towards_a_Pattern-Based_Logic_of_Probability_Judgements_and_Logical_Inclusion_Fallacies__;!!D9dNQwwGXtA!Wkpc6gXEAUa7vTN073irJvmiGFm1M04ePrzamc3puONiLj0j7VhXXNyOKSfhw7vlOZkl9aV2Cf3k1dD4d49YjQ$">https://www.researchgate.net/publication/289489883_Towards_a_Pattern-Based_Logic_of_Probability_Judgements_and_Logical_Inclusion_Fallacies</a><br>
<a class="moz-txt-link-freetext" href="https://urldefense.com/v3/__https://www.researchgate.net/publication/316248863_Rational_and_Semi-Rational_Explanations_of_the_Conjunction_Fallacy_A_Polycausal_Approach_Momme_von_Sydow__;!!D9dNQwwGXtA!Wkpc6gXEAUa7vTN073irJvmiGFm1M04ePrzamc3puONiLj0j7VhXXNyOKSfhw7vlOZkl9aV2Cf3k1dC06pUjIw$">https://www.researchgate.net/publication/316248863_Rational_and_Semi-Rational_Explanations_of_the_Conjunction_Fallacy_A_Polycausal_Approach_Momme_von_Sydow</a><br>
<a class="moz-txt-link-freetext" href="https://urldefense.com/v3/__https://www.researchgate.net/publication/326719115_Is_there_a_Monadic_as_well_as_a_Dyadic_Bayesian_Logic_Two_Logics_Explaining_Conjunction_'Fallacies'?_sg*5B0*5D=off0L4Q8oHh8xAUUBUFcPOxlGLfGnPAHbDZSx7Vmtq11m8Z4n2X9-QKquQAnyiRHJX6abs99Qd8X6_IYBEU1YtiNV37Z9OBgNc8O_IhY.-X-5XcXwnj-KbyGiVCkbIQR3ORzC5PNiSdTAiU6-_3V3YIUO5up--0oidXT4bHC1wZVBtQG5bmHHu9eXLuVVbA&_tp=eyJjb250ZXh0Ijp7ImZpcnN0UGFnZSI6InB1YmxpY2F0aW9uIiwicGFnZSI6InByb2ZpbGUiLCJwb3NpdGlvbiI6InBhZ2VDb250ZW50In19__;JSU!!D9dNQwwGXtA!Wkpc6gXEAUa7vTN073irJvmiGFm1M04ePrzamc3puONiLj0j7VhXXNyOKSfhw7vlOZkl9aV2Cf3k1dCt6Ou4RA$">https://www.researchgate.net/publication/326719115_Is_there_a_Monadic_as_well_as_a_Dyadic_Bayesian_Logic_Two_Logics_Explaining_Conjunction_'Fallacies'?_sg%5B0%5D=off0L4Q8oHh8xAUUBUFcPOxlGLfGnPAHbDZSx7Vmtq11m8Z4n2X9-QKquQAnyiRHJX6abs99Qd8X6_IYBEU1YtiNV37Z9OBgNc8O_IhY.-X-5XcXwnj-KbyGiVCkbIQR3ORzC5PNiSdTAiU6-_3V3YIUO5up--0oidXT4bHC1wZVBtQG5bmHHu9eXLuVVbA&_tp=eyJjb250ZXh0Ijp7ImZpcnN0UGFnZSI6InB1YmxpY2F0aW9uIiwicGFnZSI6InByb2ZpbGUiLCJwb3NpdGlvbiI6InBhZ2VDb250ZW50In19</a><br>
      <br>
      Sorry, don't want to provide Spam, in this mailing list, which I
      do value very much. But sometimes  - as you know - aspects of the
      'TAO' could be revealed by technicalities ;-) <br>
      <br>
      Best regards Momme  <br>
      <br>
      <br>
    </p>
    <div class="moz-signature"><font
        face="calibri,candara,helvetica,arial,veranda"><font size="1">
-----------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------<br>
          Dr. Dr. Momme v. Sydow<br>
          <a class="moz-txt-link-abbreviated" href="https://urldefense.com/v3/__http://www.von-sydow.de__;!!D9dNQwwGXtA!Wkpc6gXEAUa7vTN073irJvmiGFm1M04ePrzamc3puONiLj0j7VhXXNyOKSfhw7vlOZkl9aV2Cf3k1dA03k3Mpw$">www.von-sydow.de</a><br>
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        </font></font></div>
    <div class="moz-cite-prefix">Am 02.05.2024 um 17:08 schrieb Stuart
      Kauffman:<br>
    </div>
    <blockquote type="cite"
      cite="mid:AEAC4E93-BD91-4025-A306-2949F1A4E363@gmail.com">
      <meta http-equiv="content-type" content="text/html; charset=UTF-8">
      Lou am I correct that fuzzy logic does not handle quantum
      uncertainty where there are no "facts of the matter" between
      “measurements”? Stu<br id="lineBreakAtBeginningOfMessage">
      <div><br>
        <blockquote type="cite">
          <div>On May 2, 2024, at 9:01 AM, Louis Kauffman
            <a class="moz-txt-link-rfc2396E" href="mailto:loukau@gmail.com"><loukau@gmail.com></a> wrote:</div>
          <br class="Apple-interchange-newline">
          <div>
            <meta http-equiv="Content-Type"
              content="text/html; charset=UTF-8">
            <div
style="word-wrap: break-word; -webkit-nbsp-mode: space; line-break: after-white-space;">Multiple
              valued logic with values in interval from 0 to 1 allows a
              continuity of possibilities.
              <div>To see more of what people have done and are doing
                with it see the whole literature on fuzzy logic.</div>
              <div>I would be interested in what you hope to do with
                such ideas.</div>
              <div><br>
                <div><br>
                  <blockquote type="cite">
                    <div>On May 2, 2024, at 5:12 AM, Dr. Eric Werner
                      <<a href="mailto:evwerner@gmail.com"
                        moz-do-not-send="true"
                        class="moz-txt-link-freetext">evwerner@gmail.com</a>>
                      wrote:</div>
                    <br class="Apple-interchange-newline">
                    <div>
                      <meta http-equiv="content-type"
                        content="text/html; charset=UTF-8">
                      <div dir="auto">Very nice Louis!
                        <div>Now can we connect this to AI encodings and
                          inference?</div>
                        <div>Best,</div>
                        <div>Eric <br>
                          <div><br id="lineBreakAtBeginningOfSignature">
                            <div dir="ltr">Sent from my iPhone</div>
                            <div dir="ltr"><br>
                              <blockquote type="cite">On May 1, 2024, at
                                23:41, Louis Kauffman <<a
                                  href="mailto:loukau@gmail.com"
                                  moz-do-not-send="true"
                                  class="moz-txt-link-freetext">loukau@gmail.com</a>>
                                wrote:<br>
                                <br>
                              </blockquote>
                            </div>
                            <blockquote type="cite">
                              <div dir="ltr">
                                <meta http-equiv="Content-Type"
                                  content="text/html; charset=UTF-8">
                                Dear Folks,
                                <div>There is a very nice way (not the
                                  only way!) to start in multiple valued
                                  logics by extending from 0 and 1 to
                                  all the values between 0 and 1 in the
                                  real numbers.</div>
                                <div>This actually was done by Boole. In
                                  a modern version I will let ~x = 1-x
                                  where x is in [0,1] = {x| 0<=
                                  x<= 1}. We can let x AND y = x ^ y
                                  = xy the usual product of numbers.</div>
                                <div>Thus 0^0 = 0, 0^1=0, 1^1=1. Then
                                  define x v y = ~(~x ^ ~y) to preserve
                                  the DeMorgan rule.</div>
                                <div>Then x v y = ~(~x ^ ~y) = 1 -
                                  (1-x)(1-y) = 1-(1-x-y+xy) = x+y - xy.
                                  (Note that 1 v 1 = 1 + 1 - 1x1 = 1 as
                                  desired for Boolean algebra.) Then we
                                  have Boolean algebra for 0 and 1 and
                                  an extension that can be thought of as
                                  probabilistic for values between</div>
                                <div>0 and 1. Note that ~(1/2) = (1/2)
                                  so there is a Third Value that sits on
                                  the fence. Since this works for 0 and
                                  1, you can write a computer program
                                  with these formulas and then compute
                                  in Boolean by taking 0 and 1 values.</div>
                                <div>Best,</div>
                                <div>Lou</div>
                                <div><br>
                                  <div><br>
                                    <blockquote type="cite">
                                      <div>On May 1, 2024, at 1:40 AM, <a
href="mailto:joe.brenner@bluewin.ch" moz-do-not-send="true"
                                          class="moz-txt-link-freetext">joe.brenner@bluewin.ch</a>
                                        wrote:</div>
                                      <br
class="Apple-interchange-newline">
                                      <div><font size="3">Dear
                                          Krassimir,</font>
                                        <div><font size="3"><br>
                                          </font></div>
                                        <div><font size="3">You and
                                            others interested in this
                                            form of epistemic logic
                                            should by all means look at
                                            the 3VL neutrosophic logic
                                            of the Romanian-American
                                            Florentin Smarandache at the
                                            U. of New Mexico. It is a
                                            highly sophisticated fuzzy
                                            intuitionist logic that
                                            offers more operators than
                                            simple ternary logic.</font></div>
                                        <div><font size="3"><br>
                                          </font></div>
                                        <div><font size="3">As I
                                            discussed with Florentin
                                            some ten years ago, there is
                                            <i>no </i>relation between
                                            neutrosophic logics and an
                                            ontological logic of
                                            processes. They can be
                                            applied without reference to
                                            it.</font></div>
                                        <div><font size="3"><br>
                                          </font></div>
                                        <div><font size="3">Best wishes,</font></div>
                                        <div><font size="3">Joseph<br>
                                          </font>
                                          <blockquote
style="margin-right: 0px; margin-left:15px;">----Message d'origine----<br>
                                            De : <a
href="mailto:itheaiss@gmail.com" moz-do-not-send="true"
class="moz-txt-link-freetext">itheaiss@gmail.com</a><br>
                                            Date : 30/04/2024 - 22:09
                                            (E)<br>
                                            À : <a
href="mailto:fis@listas.unizar.es" moz-do-not-send="true"
class="moz-txt-link-freetext">fis@listas.unizar.es</a><br>
                                            Objet : [Fis] The ternary
                                            logic<br>
                                            <br>
                                            <div dir="ltr">
                                              <p class="MsoNormal"
style="margin: 0.0cm 0.0cm 10.0pt;line-height: 115.0%;"><font size="4"
face="tahoma, sans-serif">Dear Kate,<br>
                                                </font></p>
                                              <p class="MsoNormal"
style="margin: 0.0cm 0.0cm 10.0pt;line-height: 115.0%;"><font size="4"
face="tahoma, sans-serif">I want to point out that my note was just one
                                                  variation of the
                                                  well-known ternary
                                                  logic. </font></p>
                                              <p class="MsoNormal"
style="margin: 0.0cm 0.0cm 10.0pt;line-height: 115.0%;"><font size="4"
face="tahoma, sans-serif">The ternary logic, or three-valued logic
                                                  (3VL), is a logic
                                                  system with three
                                                  truth values: TRUE,
                                                  FALSE, and UNKNOWN. It
                                                  is superior to binary
                                                  logic, but because of
                                                  the significantly
                                                  larger set of 27 unary
                                                  operators, the
                                                  engineer who created
                                                  the first electronic
                                                  computer (do you know
                                                  who he was?) preferred
                                                  the simpler binary
                                                  (Boolean) logic. </font></p>
                                              <p class="MsoNormal"
style="margin: 0.0cm 0.0cm 10.0pt;line-height: 115.0%;"><font size="4"
face="tahoma, sans-serif">Boolean logic allows 2<sup>2</sup> = 4 unary
                                                  operators; the
                                                  addition of a third
                                                  value in ternary logic
                                                  leads to a total of 3<sup>3</sup>
                                                  = 27 distinct
                                                  operators on a single
                                                  input value.</font></p>
                                              <p class="MsoNormal"
style="margin: 0.0cm 0.0cm 10.0pt;line-height: 115.0%;"><font size="4"
face="tahoma, sans-serif">At the same time, if we want to achieve
                                                  development in the
                                                  field of artificial
                                                  intelligence and its
                                                  applications, it is
                                                  better to use ternary
                                                  logic. It can be
                                                  implemented
                                                  programmatically
                                                  without much effort,
                                                  so it is not a
                                                  question of
                                                  implementation, but
                                                  rather of using it
                                                  expediently.</font></p>
                                              <p class="MsoNormal"
style="margin: 0.0cm 0.0cm 10.0pt;line-height: 115.0%;"><font size="4"
face="tahoma, sans-serif">For instance the database structural query
                                                  language SQL
                                                  implements ternary
                                                  logic as a means of
                                                  handling comparisons
                                                  with NULL field
                                                  content. NULL was
                                                  originally intended to
                                                  be used as a sentinel
                                                  value in SQL to
                                                  represent missing data
                                                  in a database, i.e.
                                                  the assumption that an
                                                  actual value exists,
                                                  but that the value is
                                                  not currently recorded
                                                  in the database. In
                                                  SQL, the intermediate
                                                  value is intended to
                                                  be interpreted as
                                                  UNKNOWN.</font></p>
                                              <p class="MsoNormal"
style="margin: 0.0cm 0.0cm 10.0pt;line-height: 115.0%;"><font size="4"
face="tahoma, sans-serif">In the 3VL logic based on -1,0,1 the
                                                  intermediate value is
                                                  0. </font></p>
                                              <p class="MsoNormal"
style="margin: 0.0cm 0.0cm 10.0pt;line-height: 115.0%;"><font size="4"
face="tahoma, sans-serif">Thank you Kate for the very interesting
                                                  interpretation of
                                                  intermediate value for
                                                  the case of emotions!</font></p>
                                              <div
style="margin: 0cm 0cm 10pt; line-height: 115%;"><font size="4"
face="tahoma, sans-serif"> </font><br class="webkit-block-placeholder">
                                              </div>
                                              <p class="MsoNormal"
style="margin: 0.0cm 0.0cm 10.0pt;line-height: 115.0%;"><font size="4"
face="tahoma, sans-serif">Dear Stu,</font></p>
                                              <p class="MsoNormal"
style="margin: 0.0cm 0.0cm 10.0pt;line-height: 115.0%;"><font size="4"
face="tahoma, sans-serif">I would like to touch briefly on the "Hindu
                                                  Jain concept of
                                                  Unmanifest, True,
                                                  Unmanifest, False" you
                                                  noted.</font></p>
                                              <p class="MsoNormal"
style="margin: 0.0cm 0.0cm 10.0pt;line-height: 115.0%;"><font size="4"
face="tahoma, sans-serif">This is not analogous to "I don't know,"
                                                  because "I don't know"
                                                  means "I have no way
                                                  of knowing." This is a
                                                  ternary logic - "Yes",
                                                  "No" and "Unknown".</font></p>
                                              <p class="MsoNormal"
style="margin: 0.0cm 0.0cm 10.0pt;line-height: 115.0%;"><font size="4"
face="tahoma, sans-serif">In my opinion, "Unmanifest, True, Unmanifest,
                                                  False", is based on
                                                  the recommendation to
                                                  perceive reality as
                                                  "it is" and at the
                                                  same time as "it is
                                                  not", qualified with
                                                  "perhaps", to
                                                  understand Absolute
                                                  Reality. This is a
                                                  variant of binary
                                                  logic, in probably one
                                                  of its oldest
                                                  versions.</font></p>
                                              <p class="MsoNormal"
style="margin: 0.0cm 0.0cm 10.0pt;line-height: 115.0%;"><font size="4"
face="tahoma, sans-serif">I will recall that any change in a given
                                                  entity, as a result of
                                                  interaction with
                                                  another (= reflection
                                                  = data = ontological
                                                  information), only
                                                  after being recognized
                                                  by the Infos (= human
                                                  = agent = subject)
                                                  becomes a mental model
                                                  (= information = data
                                                  with meaning =
                                                  knowledge =
                                                  epistemological
                                                  information). </font></p>
                                              <p class="MsoNormal"
style="margin: 0.0cm 0.0cm 10.0pt;line-height: 115.0%;"><font size="4"
face="tahoma, sans-serif">This is what leads to the confusion of what
                                                  "information" is,
                                                  because in everyday
                                                  life we use the term
                                                  “information” for both
                                                  data and knowledge.
                                                  And in fact,
                                                  information appears
                                                  during the transition
                                                  from data to
                                                  knowledge, which takes
                                                  place in the temporary
                                                  (working) memory of
                                                  the brain. Data enters
                                                  it, is recognized, and
                                                  is perceived as
                                                  information (the data
                                                  acquires meaning),
                                                  after which it is
                                                  stored in long-term
                                                  memory. Thus, the
                                                  temporary memory can
                                                  be considered as a
                                                  converter of the data
                                                  coming at the input
                                                  into information that
                                                  is stored in the
                                                  permanent memory and
                                                  we usually call
                                                  "knowledge".  The
                                                  opposite transition
                                                  from knowledge to data
                                                  is possible.</font></p>
                                              <p class="MsoNormal"
style="margin: 0.0cm 0.0cm 10.0pt;line-height: 115.0%;"><font size="4"
face="tahoma, sans-serif">But the reflection (the data, the ontological
                                                  information) may not
                                                  be recognized by the
                                                  Infos (= human = agent
                                                  = subject) and, under
                                                  certain conditions,
                                                  continue to exist in
                                                  long-term memory as a
                                                  reflection without
                                                  meaning. This is
                                                  exactly the case with
                                                  "I don't know". Thus
                                                  we enter the ternary
                                                  aspect of
                                                  consciousness, which
                                                  is actually the engine
                                                  of knowledge because
                                                  it leads to the
                                                  generation of new
                                                  mental models.</font></p>
                                              <p class="MsoNormal"
style="margin: 0.0cm 0.0cm 10.0pt;line-height: 115.0%;"><font size="4"
face="tahoma, sans-serif">If we make an analogy with Schrödinger's Cat,
                                                  then in ternary logic
                                                  the observation can
                                                  give one of three
                                                  answers: "The cat is
                                                  alive", "The cat is
                                                  dead", "That in the
                                                  box is not a cat and
                                                  one cannot recognize
                                                  what it is"!</font></p>
                                              <p class="MsoNormal"
style="margin: 0.0cm 0.0cm 10.0pt;line-height: 115.0%;"><font size="4"
face="tahoma, sans-serif">This suggests that our brain is not quantum,
                                                  but a vastly more
                                                  complex system.</font></p>
                                              <p class="MsoNormal"
style="margin: 0.0cm 0.0cm 10.0pt;line-height: 115.0%;"><font size="4"
face="tahoma, sans-serif">If we want the Jain concept to become a
                                                  ternary, then we
                                                  should have three
                                                  concepts -
                                                  "Unmanifest, True",
                                                  "Unmanifest, False",
                                                  and "Unmanifest,
                                                  Unknown ".</font></p>
                                              <p class="MsoNormal"
style="margin: 0.0cm 0.0cm 10.0pt;line-height: 115.0%;"><font size="4"
face="tahoma, sans-serif">With respect,</font></p>
                                              <p class="MsoNormal"
style="margin: 0.0cm 0.0cm 10.0pt;line-height: 115.0%;"><font size="4"
face="tahoma, sans-serif">Krassimir</font></p>
                                              <p class="MsoNormal"
style="margin: 0.0cm 0.0cm 10.0pt;line-height: 115.0%;"><font size="4"
face="tahoma, sans-serif">PS: In the future, possibly it will be
                                                  interesting to discuss
                                                  information
                                                  trialectics
                                                  philosophy.</font></p>
                                              <div
style="margin: 0cm 0cm 10pt; line-height: 115%;"><font size="4"
face="tahoma, sans-serif"> </font><br class="webkit-block-placeholder">
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      <pre class="moz-quote-pre" wrap="">_______________________________________________
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----------
INFORMACIÓN SOBRE PROTECCIÓN DE DATOS DE CARÁCTER PERSONAL

Ud. recibe este correo por pertenecer a una lista de correo gestionada por la Universidad de Zaragoza.
Puede encontrar toda la información sobre como tratamos sus datos en el siguiente enlace: <a class="moz-txt-link-freetext" href="https://sicuz.unizar.es/informacion-sobre-proteccion-de-datos-de-caracter-personal-en-listas">https://sicuz.unizar.es/informacion-sobre-proteccion-de-datos-de-caracter-personal-en-listas</a>
Recuerde que si está suscrito a una lista voluntaria Ud. puede darse de baja desde la propia aplicación en el momento en que lo desee.
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----------
</pre>
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